Conf = NCAC ------ State = H
Mascot = Scots ------ Coach = Eric SeidemanGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.8635406 home-field advantage = -0.21 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 222 A St Vincent PAC ( 8- 7, 81.5) 12- 9 301 H John Carroll OAC ( 8- 6, 85.0) 9-10 304 A Otterbein OAC ( 7- 6, 82.1) 9-13 308 H Albion MIAA ( 8- 7, 85.2) 12- 6 312 A Westminster PAC ( 7- 7, 81.4) 13- 9 315 A Elmhurst CCIW (10- 1, 90.4) 8-14 319 N Messiah MAC-Commonwlt ( 5- 9, 85.6) 10-19 322 H Wittenberg NCAC ( 4- 7, 79.8) 13- 9 329 A Oberlin NCAC ( 9- 3, 88.7) 11-12 405 N Colorado Col HCLC South ( 7- 6, 88.2) 11- 9 412 A Kenyon NCAC ( 9- 5, 88.7) 13- 8 416 H Denison NCAC (10- 4, 92.9) 3- 8 419 A DePauw NCAC ( 5- 6, 81.4) 423 A Ohio Wes NCAC (10- 3, 91.8) 425 H Hiram NCAC ( 3-11, 66.4) 426 H Wabash NCAC ( 7- 7, 82.3)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A St Vincent 12- 9 3 4 -1.11 301 H John Carroll 9-10 -1 1 - -2.03 304 A Otterbein 9-13 -4 3 --- -7.53 308 H Albion 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.13 312 A Westminster 13- 9 4 4 -0.18 315 A Elmhurst 8-14 -6 -4 -1.22 319 N Messiah 10-19 -9 0 --- -7.27 322 H Wittenberg 13- 9 4 6 - -2.23 329 A Oberlin 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.12 405 N Colorado Col 11- 9 2 -2 ++ 4.41 412 A Kenyon 13- 8 5 -3 +++ 8.04 416 H Denison 3- 8 -5 -6 1.88UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Otterbein 9-13 -4 3 --- -7.53 319 N Messiah 10-19 -9 0 --- -7.27 301 H John Carroll 9-10 -1 1 - -2.03 322 H Wittenberg 13- 9 4 6 - -2.23OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Kenyon 13- 8 5 -3 +++ 8.04 308 H Albion 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.13 405 N Colorado Col 11- 9 2 -2 ++ 4.41 329 A Oberlin 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.12
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 85.83 Power Rank................. 80 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 68.45 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 60 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6209 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 57 RPI Rating............... .5643 RPI Rank................... 63 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 236 Selection sum ........... 204 Selection Rank ............ 60 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -120. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 129 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -80. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 84 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7